onvergence is
one of those technology buzzwords that elicits lots of excitement,
but little substance. The idea of a single network simultaneously
running voice, data, and video over an easy-to-manage protocol such
as IP is garnering its share of hype. But in reality, there are only
a few leading-edge companies actually running voice over IP.
These early adopters have a few things in common: They're running
voice-over-IP networks only for internal communications. Further,
they're using the technology to save on international calling costs.
And most have had to build their own IP telephony networks because
only one large service provider--PSINet Inc.--offers a voice-over-IP
service aimed at large customers.
But the new year will be different, industry watchers say. Hype
will give way to truly converged IP services that businesses can use
to save money as well as increase productivity. By the second half
of the year, the major carriers will start offering services aimed
at enterprises. AT&T, Broadlink Communications, MCI WorldCom,
Qwest Communications International, and Sprint all say they will
launch commercial voice-over-IP services. GTE Internetworking and
Level 3 Communications already have rolled out wholesale
voice-over-IP services, and plan to extend the offering to
enterprise customers when the market is ready.
"In 2000, we'll see voice-over-IP services become much more
ubiquitous," says Jilani Zeribi, a senior analyst at Current
Analysis, a consulting firm.
A few developments will help drive the market. Providers will
boost their integrated access offerings, letting remote business
sites link up using digital subscriber line technology, for example,
while company sites will rely on asynchronous transfer mode
technology. Also, vendors of IP gateway routers will make their gear
carrier-class by improving reliability and port capacity and adding
features that let service providers assign quality tags to voice
traffic. At the same time, service providers and businesses will
start exploring the kinds of new, converged services that IP
networks can support. Huge cost savings will also attract many
potential customers.
| The Buzz |
| Q. What is the most
pressing issue in the area of services for the next
year?
A: "Finding a way to extend our network to our
employees' homes for apps such as telecommuting. We want
and need to take advantage of last-mile
services" --Will Weider, CIO, Trinity Regional
Health System
A: "Making sure that as the company scales,
Oracle as an ASP can handle the growth. --Craig
Brown, CIO, Pointclick.com |
| Quick Poll:
|
| What is the most pressing issue in the area
of services for the next year?
| | |
But
there will be one major hurdle along the way--call quality.
Voice-over-IP calls often experience delays, making them more choppy
than circuit-switched calls. Carriers can address the issue over
their own backbones, but when a call switches to another provider's
backbone, there is--so far--no way to guarantee service levels.
Some convergence has already started. Many large companies are
using their frame relay and ATM networks to carry voice traffic. And
although they don't offer voice-over-IP yet, carriers have started
providing integrated access--what some say is the first step to
truly integrated networks over the wide area. "Until we can solve
the converged access problem, voice-over-IP services won't take
off," says Ron McMurtrie, VP of business product marketing at MCI
WorldCom.
Though they differ in implementation, the services give users a
single integrated access device that lets them route both data and
circuit-switched voice over the carriers' ATM backbones. Sprint's
service is called Integrated On-Demand Network; AT&T's is the
Integrated Network Connection Service; and MCI WorldCom's is On-Net.
But there's a catch: Even if the integrated-access portion is
adequately addressed, IP voice isn't as reliable as circuit-switched
voice, especially if it's routed over the public Internet. "I'm
certainly not going to tell you I can hear a pin drop," says George
Emmett, systems manager at Kanematsu USA in New York, a subsidiary
of Japanese commodities trading company Kanematsu Corp. Like many
early adopters, Kanematsu runs its voice traffic over the Internet,
so delays are a necessary evil.
The severity of the delays varies. Voice-over-IP gateways
typically are programmed to assume delays, so they buffer traffic,
says Ike Elliott, VP of softswitch services at Level 3. That can
result in varying delays based on the amount of Internet congestion.
Sometimes, it's less than 100 milliseconds--undetectable to the
human ear. Other times it can reach a second or more, resulting in
cellular-quality calls.
continued...page 2, 3
Illustration by Dave Plunkett
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